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Thursday, March 29, 2007

Islam, Christianity, and Paganism

Recently some idiotic politician in Washington State elected to ban Easter, Easter Eggs, and the Easter Bunny on the basis of “separation of Church and State”. It isn’t enough that the Constitution doesn’t actually state that there should be such a separation but that it merely precludes the government from establishing a state religion. But the complete ignorance of this politician regarding the origin of many of our holidays is truly breathtaking. Easter is word derived from ancient Persian for the goddess Ishtar (Aphrodite, Isis, Venus) who is the goddess of fertility. The Egg and the Rabbit are symbols of fertility as well.

The Jews celebrate Passover at Easter Time and the Christians celebrate the resurrection of Jesus and neither of these are relatively serious if not downright grim. Those Pagans however, were celebrating Spring and the rebirth of nature at roughly the same time, so those clever early Christians who were desperately trying to sell their religion to those fun loving Pagans simply tacked the resurrection to the Pagan Holiday. The result of this gives us the rather weird combination of Jesus, Passover, and Easter Eggs which are laid by the Easter Bunny. Then of course we have Christmas which is celebrated as the birth of Jesus, who was born during the summer, but those fun loving pagans in Rome celebrated the Saturnalia starting December 25th so once again the Christians tacked Jesus on to a Pagan Festival that everyone loved, once again making Christianity very marketable. Then we have Mayday where all of those young virgins dance around the May Pole (I leave the symbolism of THAT to you).

The point is that Christianity seems to incorporate some things which are not truly Christian in origin but nevertheless are viewed as Christian. Well it seems that Islam also includes some things not originally included in Islam and one of these is the veil or Burqua. This is not included in the Qur’an which only admonishes women to cover their bosom, but it comes from Zoroastrianism and was later adopted by the Persians. It is not Islamic in origin and many Muslim women do not practice it. However, a woman is suing the government because a Judge dismissed her case because she had her face completely covered with her Burqua. The basis of her suit is that this was a violation of her freedom of religion. Then we see Christian women being forced to cover their heads “as required by Islam” when in fact no such requirement exists within the Qur’an. This is tantamount to suing the government to restore the Easter Bunny because it is Christian. Jesus and Mohammed both must be shaking their heads.

Then we have the issue of circumcision. The Jews and the Muslims, practice circumcision, but the (European) Christians do not. However, it is common in many primitive societies to circumcise boys as a coming of age ceremony. The ancient Egyptians practiced circumcision as a coming of age ceremony usually about the age of 14. Undoubtedly this practice was adopted by the Jews and later by the Muslims. However, circumcision is directed in the Old Testament (Genesis 17:10-14) but is not mentioned in the Qur’an, yet Muslims practice circumcision as a coming of age ceremony. So this is another example of a Pagan practice being incorporated into a religious practice.

The real point here is that no organized religion is totally pure but it incorporates things from outside the original religious teachings. Christianity has gone through a reformation and the result has been many variations of Christianity. Based on these variations, Christendom has established the concept of “Freedom of Religion” and this permits anyone to worship (or not worship) God(s) in any way they choose. It is worth noting that this concept of religious freedom does not exist in Islam. In Saudi Arabia it is a serious crime to even own a Bible and a capital crime to proselytize. Islamic countries do not permit most of the freedoms associated with a free society. In fact it is virtually impossible to separate Islam from the government in most Islamic countries because the concept of a separation between the state and religion doesn’t exist. This makes the lawsuit regarding the wearing of the Burqua supremely ironic because it is driven by a woman who would deny freedom of religion to others while demanding it for herself. If it was a Christian woman in an Islamic Country she would be forbidden to wear a Crucifix while being required to wear a veil even though it was against her religion. Toleration is not a hallmark of Islam.

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Another Experiment in Socialism Gone Awry

It is truly amazing how the socialists in the world fail to get the message that it doesn’t work. Our Universities and the Educational community in general continue to be filled with these people who feel capitalism is evil and that socialism is the only “fair” way to run a government. Of course it goes unsaid that they should be the ones to run the government because the rest of us are too stupid to make the right decisions. Even in those European countries where socialism is entrenched the best they have been able to achieve is a level of mediocrity, where no one is terribly rich, no one terribly poor, and many who simply give up and live parasitic lives without working. If it wasn’t for the leadership of the United States most of Europe would simply collapse. But that really isn’t the issue. The issue today is Venezuela, a once prosperous country rich in oil revenues but suffering from the usual Latin America malaise of few members in the middle class, too many ignorant and uneducated peasants, and too little reinvestment in the country.

What we find today in Venezuela is Hugo Chavez doing what dictators and communists have done forever and that is promise something for nothing to the masses and then find a scapegoat to blame for the failures that inevitably follow from socialist policies. Since Chavez gained power the economy of Venezuela has slipped into decline and is growing worse day by day. At first glance this deterioration may not be obvious because the streets are filled with vendors hawking their wares and shouting out prices. These vendors are selling virtually everything and from the sheer number it would appear that the economy is in good shape and that the people are prosperous and doing well. But this appearance is deceiving because the supermarkets where one would ordinarily buy vegetables and other staples are virtually bare. But why is this happening when the whole objective of socialism / communism is to share the riches with everyone. The objective is to take from those that have and give to those who have not so why are goods becoming scarce?

Obviously the answer to this question is complicated but it starts with some of the fundamentals of socialism / communism. In capitalism the objective of any enterprise is profit and if the profits are not forthcoming the business goes out of business. In socialism and in Venezuela the Chavez form of Socialism is more nearly akin to communism the objective is employment and any profits from the enterprise are taken by the state and redistributed into other endeavors that are not making a profit. The inevitable result of this policy is that eventually there are no profits being generated by any enterprise. But the more direct impact of government control of the economy is the policy of price control. This failed in ancient Rome and it has failed in every instance where it has been tried and it is failing in Venezuela. As soon as the government fixes the price at which a product can be sold it immediately drives that product out of the marketplace because the product can be sold at a higher price on the black market. Punishment of black marketeers increases the scarcity and drives the prices even higher. In Venezuela the government allows these individual entrepreneurs to exist, which is why the street vendors are selling vegetables on the street but the shelves in the markets are bare.

Regimes like Chavez’s drive away business from outsiders and cause investors internally to flee the country taking their wealth with them. This has historically been the problem in Latin America as one dictator after another seizes power the wealthy move their wealth to other countries and the new regime falters and fails to be replaced by other and the pattern repeats itself. Dictatorships are inherently unstable and eventually fail. Communist states follow the same pattern for much the same reason – any prudent person will not stand by and allow the fruits of his labor to be seized by the government and redistributed to the unproductive.

There is a lesson here for America’s leftists and the extreme positions held by many in the Democratic Party. Raising taxes is simply a legal way of taking the profits from the productive and giving them to the unproductive. This is what Chavez is doing in Venezuela and his strength comes from the unemployed, the disenfranchised, and the poor. The power base of Pelosi and the extreme left increasingly rests on the illegal immigrants, the poor, and the unproductive.

But the real warning is that Hugo Chavez is a “democratically elected” leader who seems to have convinced the American left that he is not only a popularly elected leader but that he represents the future of Latin America. Of course this was the position these same leftists took with Fidel Castro and we see how well that worked but the situation in Venezuela may actually be worse because Chavez like dictators before him is using the US as a scapegoat to distract the people from the evident failures of his regime. This is the same technique being used by Kim Jong Il in North Korea, the Mullahs in Iran, the Islamofascists all over the world, and the list goes on and on. However, unlike the others Chavez appears to be trying to provoke the US into some sort of retaliation or military intervention. The recent capture of the British Soldiers is an example of this attempt to provoke an attack by the Iranians. Chavez needs something similar to consolidate his grip on the country because his seizure of private property and obvious drift toward a fascist communist state is rapidly eroding his power.

The leftists in this country and worldwide continue to view the US as the oppressor of the weak, especially Cuba and other communist countries like North Korea. Chavez is relying on this attitude and the fact that the US is distracted by the Islamofascists, which gives him the opportunity to establish himself as the first Communist in South America. He doesn’t represent a significant problem yet but he is not someone to be ignored for long.

Saturday, March 24, 2007

Remarks about A global intelligence briefing for ceo's

Apparently Herbert Meyer, a former member of the Reagan Administration, gave a speech in Seattle to a group of CEO’s which is getting a lot of attention. This is a very interesting speech and is an interesting strategic assessment of the world today, but this is an assessment provided by an intelligence officer and not a businessman. Consequently while his views are essentially sound they are not totally accurate because he simply does not have the business knowledge or experience to put some of these things into perspective.

Essentially Mr. Meyer addresses four major transformations and their impact that are shaping the political and economic events of the world today. These transformations are:
1. The War in Iraq
2 The Emergence of China
3 The Shifting Demographics of Western Civilization
4 The Restructuring of American Business

THE WAR IN IRAQ
This is perhaps the most misunderstood of these four transforming events. The Islamofascists have declared war on the West and this war is not limited to Iraq. However, the reality is that Islam is at war with itself as the radical Muslims are attacking other Muslims with growing violence. The reality is that Islam is under going its long delayed reformation with the violence that characterized the Christian Reformation. Unfortunately the Western powers are caught in the middle of this because the radicals are using America as the scapegoat for the failure of the Islamic governments.

This internal struggle between the Radical Muslims and the mainstream Muslims is global in nature and poses a real threat to Western Civilization especially with regard to Iran. The Iranian Mullahs have a tiger by the tail and are desperately holding on. Iran is an ancient culture and not Arabic. The Iranians look down on the Arabs as goat herders and lacking in the cultural refinement of Persia. The modern Iran is Islamic but has a very young population that is essentially pro-Western. This does not mean “pro-America” but it does mean pro- technology, and pro-freedom. The Iranian young are chafing under the puritanical and restrictive policies of the Mullahs.

The Mullahs are doing everything they can to force Israel or America into a military confrontation. The purpose of this would be to unify the country against a common enemy which would allow them to regain control. Iran represents an even greater threat to America and the West than Iraq or Afghanistan.

THE EMERGENCE OF CHINA
China is actually becoming Imperial China with different names. There is no doubt but that it is a powder keg politically. Capitalism is creeping across China and ultimately it will topple the communist structure – maybe not the government but certainly the structure. Socialism’s objective is “employment” not efficiency or profit. This allows the Chinese to effectively compete through their subsidized industry but if the human rights activists and those who oppose the balance of trade policies with China succeed in restricting the trade with China then this destabilization to America and China could easily happen.
This is something that the politicians don’t want to hear, but the reality is that the world demand for oil is outstripping the supply – primarily because of the Chinese demand. As China loosens the restrictions on business they are becoming more and more capitalistic and this change is causing their economy to boom. The average Chinese has given up his bicycle in favor of a car – many of these built in China. The favorite pass time of the liberal establishment is to condemn the oil companies and their “obscene” profits. But the reality is that there is a big difference between revenues and profits. Hillary Clinton has actually said her objective is to take the profits from the oil companies. As the demand for oil goes up the price goes up and as the price goes up the profits go up, but so do the costs. The good news is that the higher pump prices make mining our oil shale economically feasible.
The Chinese have a huge military and will undoubtedly build their navy but challenging the American Navy for supremacy of the seas is probably not realistic – at least not in the near term. The Chinese are an interesting people but they have never been expansionists.
THE SHIFTING DEMOGRAPHICS OF THE WEST
There is little doubt but Europe will fall to the Muslims because the Europeans cannot stop the immigration or the growth of the Muslims already there. The Europeans have never learned to assimilate outsiders, which has given rise to anti-Semitism throughout their history. Now that they are faced with this huge influx of Muslims they refuse to allow them in and this is leading to a very explosive situation. It is already beyond their control.
Europe is lost – France and Germany are declining into irrelevance and are being taken over by Islam. I expect by 2050 Western Europe will be Islamic. The Europeans are abandoning Christianity and are so self absorbed that they don’t care what happens as long as they can continue their life of laziness. Their productivity is declining, their taxes are increasing, their unemployment is high but their programs for the unemployed are generous, which encourages idleness and creates an unstable underclass. They refuse to assimilate the Islamic immigrants and this is greatly increasing this instability. They have reduced their military to the point that it is practically non-existent. They rely entirely on NATO – meaning the US – to defend them. However the threat to them is internal and civil war in France is a distinct possibility.
Actually the population of the US has continued to increase, the longevity continues to increase, the productivity per capita continues to increase, and the tax relief has increased. Large families are simply not economically feasible and probably not necessary. It is true that the ethnic mix is changing and it is less white than it used to be but I’m not sure I understand Meyer’s point regarding the economic impact on our society since he fails to acknowledge our growing productivity and booming economy.
Mr. Meyer expresses great concern over social security and the healthcare demands in the US. There is no doubt that the healthcare system needs overhauling and it is only a matter of time before this is done. The Social Security System will not go away and it could easily be funded through the elimination of pork barrel projects. The housing market has already been seen as a problem as the costs have reached unreasonable levels. Million dollar homes are commonplace just as foreclosures. I anticipate the housing market will continue a slow decline over the next several years. I think the impact will be mostly in large urban areas because retirees will move and virtual employment will become more commonplace, which will allow workers to live anywhere.
Japan is not really a Western Society but it is certainly a member of the Industrialized World. There is no doubt but that the Japanese have significant problems that are economic in their root cause. They use a central planning approach and this in concert with their cultural sense of face and pride has left their economy in a shambles. In order to get out of this funk they would have to open their doors to competition and to force their banks to write off their bad investments. Culturally and politically they cannot bring themselves to do this so things continue to decline. Where will it end? Who knows but I think Meyer’s assessment is more extreme than the reality.
THE RESTRUCTURING OF AMERICAN BUSINESS
I think Meyer’s view is the view of a non-business person – not inaccurate but not totally accurate either. Companies are increasingly seeing the advantages of “work from home” jobs. This allows one or both parents to work from their home office (I have done this since 1995) and this home office can be in Moose Jaw as well as Los Angeles. People will live where they want and many will opt for small towns with low costs and high quality living. This model is driving up our productivity while reducing our costs. Plus mundane jobs are being shipped overseas. American technology is driving our productivity and it is making our companies more flexible and reactive. No other country in the world approaches us in this regard. So yes, American business continues to morph into a completely new model far in advance of the rest of the world. While companies shrink in size they increase in scope, productivity, and profitability.
Certainly China represents a potential threat to America both economically and militarily .America is probably the most reluctant military power in the world but we are also the most warlike people. The Chinese have a huge army and it is growing in strength. It is possible that they could challenge us militarily but the Chinese have historically not been an expansionist power. As long as we command the seas this is probably not an issue. Economically China is very dependent on the US because we are their principal business partner. This symbiotic relationship will probably continue for the foreseeable future.
Our Judeo-Christian culture is really the crux of the issue. If we allow our work ethic to erode and become self-absorbed hedonists like the Europeans we are doomed. If we give up our Christian culture we are doomed. So far we have resisted this erosion but with the influx of people from socialistic countries (e.g. Latin America) they expect our government to take care of them like they were used to in their countries. Politicians like Nancy Pelosi and others from states with high immigrant populations play on this expectation in order to remain in power. They are the real threat as they focus on their personal power at the expense of the country as a whole.

Mr Meyer's speech can be viewed at the following address


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